American Homes 4 Stock Performance

AMH Stock  USD 31.47  0.27  0.85%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, American Homes' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Homes is expected to be smaller as well. American Homes 4 right now shows a risk of 1.34%. Please confirm American Homes 4 potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if American Homes 4 will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days American Homes 4 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong primary indicators, American Homes is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.85)
Five Day Return
1.25
Year To Date Return
(1.41)
Ten Year Return
132.94
All Time Return
101.73
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0378
Payout Ratio
1.3841
Last Split Factor
7:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.2
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
American Homes 4 Rent Price Target Lowered to 37.00 at Wells Fargo Company
11/25/2025
2
Acquisition by Corrigan Jack E of 700 shares of American Homes at 22.9 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/09/2025
3
Citi Downgrades American Homes 4 Rent to Hold Rating, Cuts Target Price to 34.5 -
12/22/2025
 
American Homes dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
4
Disposition of 446 shares by Brian Reitz of American Homes at 31.92 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Capital Investment Advisors LLC Takes Position in American Homes 4 Rent AMH
01/09/2026
6
Trump Targets Wall Street Homebuyers With Order
01/21/2026
7
AMCI Investment Managers Across the All Ordinaries Financial Services Landscape
01/22/2026
8
AMCiL Earnings Spotlight What Its Latest Results Reveal About Market Strength
01/23/2026
9
Appalachian Mountain Health Marks Significant Growth Under Dr. Shantelle Simpsons Leadership
01/27/2026
10
Disposition of 2849 shares by Bryan Smith of American Homes at 35.53 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/29/2026
11
AMH Announces Tax Treatment of 2025 Distributions
01/30/2026
12
Short Interest in American Homes 4 Rent Increases By 21.1 percent - MarketBeat
02/04/2026
13
Disposition of 1634 shares by Brian Reitz of American Homes at 30.84 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2026
14
Liquidity Mapping Around Price Events - Stock Traders Daily
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow221.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-825.9 M

American Homes Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,160  in American Homes 4 on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (13.00) from holding American Homes 4 or give up 0.41% of portfolio value over 90 days. American Homes 4 is generating 0.002% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.342% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Homes is expected to generate 51.2 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

American Homes Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.47 90 days 31.47 
about 47.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Homes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.74 (This American Homes 4 probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Homes has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Homes average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Homes 4 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Homes 4 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   American Homes Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Homes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Homes 4. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.1331.4732.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.3233.9535.29
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.3036.6040.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.160.200.24
Details

American Homes Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Homes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Homes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Homes 4, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Homes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

American Homes Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Homes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Homes 4 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 31st of December 2025 American Homes paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Liquidity Mapping Around Price Events - Stock Traders Daily

American Homes Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding368 M
Cash And Short Term Investments199.4 M

American Homes Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Homes, and American Homes fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American Homes Performance

By evaluating American Homes' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into American Homes' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if American Homes has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Homes has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 45.60  40.54 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.05 

Things to note about American Homes 4 performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Homes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Homes 4 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 31st of December 2025 American Homes paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Liquidity Mapping Around Price Events - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating American Homes' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Homes' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Homes' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Homes' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Homes' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Homes' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Homes' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Homes' stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Homes' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Homes' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Homes' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running American Homes' price analysis, check to measure American Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Homes is operating at the current time. Most of American Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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